Research on Effective Wind Speed Estimation and Prediction Method Based on Wind Turbine Driven Pumping Unit.

This paper takes the wind turbine of the new energy pumping unit as the study subject, which mainly analyzes realistic wind speed estimation on the windward side of the wind turbine and then proposes a wind turbine speed control method based on wind speed estimation. The support vector regression (SVR) model is built first in this study, and the parameters of the SVR model are optimized by the particle swarm algorithm. The SVR II wind speed prediction model is constructed and the working characteristic curve of the wind turbine is generated by gathering wind speed and output power data from the wind turbine at the assigned test location. The prediction model can compensate for the disturbance of system inertia and make the output wind speed more accurate. The effective wind speed acting on the turbine surface can be obtained by substituting the predicted wind speed into the optimal blade tip velocity ratio equation. Suppose the wind turbine is in maximum power tracking control. In that case, the optimal speed can be given directly by the model SCR III, and the speed can be tracked in real-time by the controller to accomplish the largest wind power capture. The optimal speed tracking control uses the calculated effective wind speed if the wind turbine is under constant power output control. In this paper, 14,000 sets of characteristic samples were extracted within the range of wind speed variation of 4–20 m/s, and model verification was carried out for models SVR-I, SVR-II and SVR-III. Finally, the predicted effective wind speed value and the actual value are within ±0.3 m/s of each other. In practical engineering applications, the forecasted effective wind speed value can entirely substitute the actual value. This work put forward a maximum power tracking control approach that can satisfy new energy pumping units' energy conservation needs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]