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Seasonality in commodity prices: new approaches for pricing plain vanilla options.
- Source :
-
Annals of Operations Research . May2024, Vol. 336 Issue 1/2, p1089-1131. 43p. - Publication Year :
- 2024
-
Abstract
- We present a new term-structure model for commodity futures prices based on Trolle and Schwartz (2009), which we extend by incorporating seasonal stochastic volatility represented with two different sinusoidal expressions. We obtain a quasi-analytical representation of the characteristic function of the futures log-prices and closed-form expressions for standard European options' prices using the fast Fourier transform algorithm. We price plain vanilla options on the Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts, using our model and extant models. We obtain higher accuracy levels with our model than with the extant models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 02545330
- Volume :
- 336
- Issue :
- 1/2
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Annals of Operations Research
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 177190168
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-022-05128-x