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Climate Change Is Leading to a Convergence of Global Climate Distribution.

Authors :
Li, Chuanhua
Liu, Cui
Tsunekawa, Atsushi
Liu, Yunfan
Yin, Peng
Ma, Shaoxiu
Zhou, Min
Wu, Xiaodong
Source :
Geophysical Research Letters. 6/16/2024, Vol. 51 Issue 11, p1-8. 8p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The impact of changes in global temperatures and precipitation on climate distribution remains unclear. Taking the annual global average temperatures and precipitation as the origin, this study determined the climate distribution with the distances of temperature and precipitation from their global averages as the X and Y axes. The results showed that during 1980–2019, the global temperature distribution converged toward the mean (convergence), while the precipitation distribution moved away from the mean (divergence). The combined effects of both led to a convergence in the global climate distribution. During 2025–2100, significant climate convergence is observed under two emission scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585). However, the climate convergence and the area of change in climate type remains insignificant only under SSP126, suggesting that the diversity of the global climate pattern can be maintained under a sustainable emission pathway (SSP126), whereas high emission pathways will lead to greater uniformity in global climate. Plain Language Summary: Global average temperatures and precipitation have increased significantly over recent decades. However, the distribution of affected areas remains unclear in comparison to the global mean. Taking annual temperature and precipitation averages as a reference point, this study measured temperature and precipitation anomalies from the global mean on the X and Y axes. The Euclidean distance of each grid cell represents its deviation (anomaly) from the global climate mean. These distances are termed the degree of deviation of temperature, precipitation, and climate from the global mean for each raster. The results reveal a discernible homogenization trend regarding the distribution of global climate. Among three distinct climate scenarios, climate diversity is effectively preserved under the low‐emission model (SSP126), whereas global climate distribution exhibits a substantial convergence toward the annual mean under the high‐emission models (SSP245 and SSP585). Key Points: Against the backdrop of global warming, the climate pattern is shifting toward convergenceTemperature is the primary driver behind climate convergence, while precipitation plays a central role in climate diversityLow‐level emissions are conducive to preserving the diversity of future global climate distribution [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00948276
Volume :
51
Issue :
11
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Geophysical Research Letters
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177798737
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106658