ANALYSIS OF SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS IN EGG PRICES IN TÜRKIYE.

The aim of this study was to analyse the seasonal movements in chicken egg prices in Türkiye. In this framework, the main material of the study consisted of data obtained from Afyonkarahisar Başmakçı Poultry Cooperative, TURKSTAT and FAO. In the study, real prices of eggs received by farmers reached its lowest value in June 2022. On the other hand, it was determined that it reached its highest value in January 1996. In the same period, on a monthly basis, it was determined that the prices received by egg producers showed a decreasing trend and price volatility continued (Y1994-2022 = -0.00001x + 0.33387; R² = 0.51568). Between 1994 and 2022, egg prices followed a highly fluctuating course. The reason for this fluctuation can be said to be the restrictions on imports and exports in some years in the egg poultry sector. The monthly price movements of Başmakçı cooperative were analysed as guide, broiler, pullets, new mother, old mother and double eggs. The average real price of pilot egg was the lowest in July with 40.89 TRY and the highest in December with 63.24 TRY. The average real price of "chicken eggs" was the lowest in July with 53.46 TRY and the highest in December with 76.33 TRY. The average real price of "Pullets" was the lowest in July with 66.36 TRY. With 88.47 TRY, it reached its highest value in December. The average real price of new mother egg was the lowest in May with 66.19 TRY and the highest in December with 92.87 TRY. The average real price of "old main egg" was the lowest in May with 69.66 TRY and the highest in December with 96.02 TRY. The average real price of double eggs was the lowest in May with 71.50 TRY and the highest in December with 97.86 TRY. Between 2003 and 2022, it was determined that the price of eggs on consumer basis increased against wheat flour, bread, apples, beef, poultry, fish and milk. As a result, in addition to the measures to be taken to ensure price stability, it was foreseen that increasing the production potential rather than import tendency in the supply of feed raw materials and a possible input subsidy to be provided to producers will contribute to price stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]