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Efficient bankruptcy (credit cards) prediction using logistic regression over linear regression with improved accuracy.

Authors :
Ali, M. M.
Samuel, R. B. R.
Denesh, S.
Source :
AIP Conference Proceedings. 2024, Vol. 3161 Issue 1, p1-7. 7p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

To enhance the precision of bankruptcy prediction by implementing Logistic Regression, as opposed to Linear Regression, with a particular focus on efficiency. The study involves a classification approach where Logistic Regression is applied to a sample of 20 cases, while a separate sample of 20 cases is used for Linear Regression. The study configured a Logistic Regression model with specific parameters (alpha, g-power, beta) and aimed to assess its performance with a 95% confidence interval (likely to ensure the results are statistically significant). They compared this to a Linear Regression model. The Logistic Regression achieved a higher accuracy (95.1%) compared to Linear Regression (88.8%) for this task. The mean accuracy detection stands at 0.660 (±2SD), with a significance value of 0.00 (p<0.05). Thus, it is evident that a statistically significant distinction exists between the two groups. The assertion is correct, and it has been conducted through an Independent Sample T-test. The investigation into bankruptcy, the Logistic Regression had greater accuracy (95.3%) while in comparison with the Linear Regression (LR). This research proposes a novel Logistic Regression approach that addresses the limitations of previous studies and achieves higher accuracy. This method empowers users to make more accurate predictions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
0094243X
Volume :
3161
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
AIP Conference Proceedings
Publication Type :
Conference
Accession number :
179375149
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0229248