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The effect of mixing EUV proxies on the correlation with foF2 and on long-term trends estimations.

Authors :
Zossi, Bruno S.
Medina, Franco D.
Duran, Trinidad
Elias, Ana G.
Source :
Advances in Space Research. Nov2024, Vol. 74 Issue 10, p4930-4936. 7p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

Solar proxies are a valuable tool used in most atmospheric models to simulate or predict the state and variation of the different layers linked to the solar source. In this work, we analyze the performance, through correlation analysis, of six solar EUV proxies, and different combination of them, to reproduce annual ionospheric F2 critical frequency (foF2) from ten different stations. We find that certain combinations of traditional proxies outperform the capacity to reproduce interannual ionospheric foF2 variability, resulting in better statistical correlation and time stability, these new proxies could be a valuable tool to predict the state of the atmosphere and for interpolation in case of missing data. Different combinations of proxies such as F30, MgII, Sn or Lya, creates better indicators than using them alone. These new EUV proxies are also used to estimate long-term trends along the ten stations. As we increase the correlation, the estimated trend decrease as expected by definition. However, a key point is that the average trends, after filtering solar activity, result negative as was predicted by the increase of the greenhouse gases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02731177
Volume :
74
Issue :
10
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Advances in Space Research
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
180560920
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2024.07.064