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Trend detection of annual and seasonal rainfall in Calabria (Southern Italy).

Authors :
Caloiero, Tommaso
Coscarelli, Roberto
Ferrari, Ennio
Mancini, Marco
Source :
International Journal of Climatology. Jan2011, Vol. 31 Issue 1, p44-56. 13p.
Publication Year :
2011

Abstract

In order to investigate the behaviour of climatic and hydrological variables, several statistical and stochastic techniques are currently applied to time series. In the present study a statistical analysis of annual and seasonal precipitation has been performed over 109 cumulated rainfall series with more than 50 years of data observed in a region of Southern Italy (Calabria). Trend analyses have been made by using both nonparametric (Mann-Kendall test) and parametric (linear regression analysis) procedures. The long historical series of monthly rainfall data employed in this work have been previously processed through a pre-whitening (PW) technique in order to reduce the autocorrelation of rainfall series and its effects on outcomes of trend detection. The application of the above mentioned procedures has shown a decreasing trend for annual and winter-autumn rainfall and an increasing trend for summer precipitation. Moreover the Mann-Whitney test has been used to evidence the possible change points in the data. The higher percentages of rainfall series show possible year changes during decade 1960-1970 for almost all of the temporal aggregation rainfall. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
08998418
Volume :
31
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
International Journal of Climatology
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
63597166
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2055