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Modeling the influence of information on the coevolution of contact networks and the dynamics of infectious diseases

Authors :
Zhang, Haifeng
Small, Michael
Fu, Xinchu
Sun, Guiquan
Wang, Binghong
Source :
Physica D. Sep2012, Vol. 241 Issue 18, p1512-1517. 6p.
Publication Year :
2012

Abstract

Abstract: Outbreaks of infectious diseases may awaken the awareness of individuals, consequently, they may adjust their contact patterns according to the perceived risk from disease. In this paper, we assume that individuals make decisions on breaking or recovering links according to the information of diseases spreading which they have acquired. They will reduce some links when diseases are prevalent and have high risks; otherwise, they will recover some original links when the diseases are controlled or present minimal risk. Under such an assumption, we study the effects of information of diseases on the contact patterns within the population and on the dynamics of epidemics. By extensive simulations and theoretical analysis, we find that, due to the time-delayed information of diseases, both the density of the disease and the topology of the network vary with time in a periodic form. Our results indicate that the quality of information available to individuals can have an important effect on the spreading of infectious diseases and implications for related problems. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
01672789
Volume :
241
Issue :
18
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Physica D
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
78143044
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2012.05.011