Urban passenger prediction based on hybrid algorithm of new chaos accelerating genetic algorithm and PPPR model.

To improve urban passenger prediction accuracy with parametric projection pursuit regression, acceleration genetic algorithm was improved with cat map, Gaussian distribution and local searching. A new chaos accelerating genetic algorithm (NCAGA) was presented, used to optimize the best projection direction a of PPPR model. A hybrid algorithm of NCAGA-PPPR urban passenger forecasting model was proposed, in which the best projection direction was hybrid optimized inner by the NCAGA at the time of optimizing outer the number of ridge functions M. The simulation prediction was made with observed data, compared with BP neural network model, traditional PPR model and PPPR model optimized by acceleration genetic algorithm. The urban passenger forecasting accuracy is higher than the others, which the mean absolute relative error is less than 3.1%. The new hybrid algorithm can improve prediction accuracy of urban passenger and can be used efficaciously to forecast the urban passenger. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]