Estimating a bivariate tail: A copula based approach.

Abstract: This paper deals with the problem of estimating the tail of a bivariate distribution function. To this end we develop a general extension of the POT (peaks-over-threshold) method, mainly based on a two-dimensional version of the Pickands–Balkema–de Haan Theorem. We introduce a new parameter that describes the nature of the tail dependence, and we provide a way to estimate it. We construct a two-dimensional tail estimator and study its asymptotic properties. We also present real data examples which illustrate our theoretical results. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]