Quantitative structure–activity relationships (QSARs) in toxicology: a historical perspective

The history of the use of quantitative structure–activity relationships (QSARs) in toxicology, both for environmental, and human health effects is described. A particular emphasis is made on the science in response to the United States Toxic Substance Control Act of 1976. Specifically, the basic concepts and objectives of QSARs for toxicity are reviewed. QSARs for environmental and human health effects are discussed separately. Environmental, and more specifically, ecotoxicity, QSARs have focused historically on modeling congeneric series and non-specific effects in aquatic organisms through the use of the logarithm of the 1-octanol/water partition coefficient to describe hydrophobicity, and hence uptake. Compounds that do not fit these QSARs (namely the outliers) have been explained by differences in mechanism of acute toxicity, especially as a result of electro(nucleo)philic interactions. In light of this, mechanisms of acute toxicity are discussed. QSAR approaches to receptor-mediated effects, such as those exhibited by environmental estrogens, and competitive binding to the estrogen receptor, are different from those typically applied to model acute toxic endpoints. Several of these approaches, including three-dimensional QSAR techniques, are reviewed. Human health effects include both local and systemic effects. Local effects (e.g. corrosivity and skin sensitization) are often modeled by multivariate QSAR methods such as linear regression and discriminant analysis. The prediction of systemic effects such as mutagenesis and carcinogenesis requires consideration of the endpoint and a more mechanistic basis for modeling. Approaches to predict these endpoints include the use of expert systems. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]