Malaria control under unstable dynamics: Reactive vs. climate-based strategies.

Highlights: [•] The temporal dynamics of unstable malaria control is of relevance to elimination. [•] Control (IRS) increases nonlinearly with previous incidence (API) in arid NW India. [•] This ‘reactive’ policy is investigated with a rainfall-driven mosquito-human model. [•] ‘Reactive’ control can generate transient disease cycles of about ten years. [•] Control based on rainfall variability proves more effective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]