The Geopolitical Factor in International Conflict: In The Case of Kashmir Issue.

This paper is to investigate whether geographical escalation of the conflict on both sides, or expand, by statistical analysis model to further assess the probability of an escalation of the conflict. Several studies have shown that the conflict between the two countries more vulnerable to geopolitical conflicts in the geographical distance and the geographical location of the affected parties. Accordingly, this study attempts to explore the conflict when the geographical distance and location between two countries, and other factors and significant strength and relevance to the international conflicts, viewing the conflict while the chance to expand or upgrade. In view of this, this paper examines the conflicts from 1945 to 2006 by the escalation of international conflict, or whether it be geographical expansion in the geographical distance and the location of the parties and other factors. First, the paper examines the research of international relations related geopolitical literature and to summarize the geopolitical conflicts and the international impact of upgrade or expand conflicts, and analyze and summarize the variables associated with a significant. Secondly, the author uses the data from the Department cited the United States, Center for International Development and Conflicts management of University of Maryland which released by the International Crisis Behavior Project, hereinafter referred to as ICB 2009. The author tries to analyses the geographical relationship of the important factors and international conflict escalation or expansion by a "cross-tabulation analyses" and the "ordinal logistic model" analysis to see significant inter-correlation between independent variables and the dependent variable, and further analysis of the possible escalation of the conflict probability. Furthermore, the results of the statistical analysis are used to view the India-Pakistan South Asian regional security hot spots "Kashmir" conflict. Finally, author summarizes the major findings and findings and proposes research limitations and future research directions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]