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Deriving age-specific incidence from prevalence with an ordinary differential equation.
- Source :
-
Statistics in medicine [Stat Med] 2013 May 30; Vol. 32 (12), pp. 2070-8. Date of Electronic Publication: 2012 Oct 04. - Publication Year :
- 2013
-
Abstract
- This article describes new relationships between the age-specific incidence of, the prevalence of and mortality from a chronic disease. We express these relationships in terms of an ordinary differential equation and form the methodological basis for a novel approach to estimating incidences from age-specific prevalence data. We examine practical aspects of the relationships and a comparison with a known stochastic method in a simulation study. Finally, we apply the novel method to a data set of renal replacement therapy recorded from patients with chronic kidney failure in a region of Germany with approximately 310,000 inhabitants from 2002 to 2010.<br /> (Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)
- Subjects :
- Adult
Aged
Chronic Disease mortality
Computer Simulation
Cross-Sectional Studies
Germany epidemiology
Humans
Incidence
Kidney Failure, Chronic epidemiology
Kidney Failure, Chronic mortality
Middle Aged
Prevalence
Chronic Disease epidemiology
Data Interpretation, Statistical
Epidemiologic Methods
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 1097-0258
- Volume :
- 32
- Issue :
- 12
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- Statistics in medicine
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 23034867
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.5651