Two-hour algorithm for triage toward rule-out and rule-in of acute myocardial infarction using high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T.

Background: High-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) may allow an earlier diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
Methods: We prospectively enrolled 1148 (derivation cohort) and 517 (external validation cohort) unselected patients presenting with suspected AMI to the emergency department. Final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. Hs-cTnT was measured at presentation and after 2 hours. A diagnostic algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT values at presentation and absolute changes within the first 2 hours was derived.
Results: AMI was the final diagnosis in 16% of patients in the derivation and 9.1% in the validation cohort. The 2-hour algorithm developed in the derivation cohort classified 60% of patients as "rule-out," 16% as "rule-in," and 24% in the "observational-zone." Resulting sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) were 99.5% and 99.9%, respectively, for rule-out, and specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were 96% and 78%, respectively, for rule-in. Applying the 2-hour triage algorithm in the external validation cohort, 78% of patients could be classified as "rule-out," 8% as "rule-in," and 14% in the "observational-zone." Resulting sensitivity and NPV were 96% and 99.5%, respectively, for rule-out, and specificity and PPV were 99% and 85%, respectively, for rule-in. Cumulative 30-day survival rates were 100%, 98.9%, and 95.2% (P < .001), and 100%, 100%, and 95% (P < .001) in patients classified as "rule-out," "observational-zone," and "rule-in" in the 2 cohorts, respectively.
Conclusions: A simple algorithm incorporating hs-cTnT baseline values and absolute changes over 2 hours allowed a triage toward safe rule-out, or accurate rule-in, of AMI in the vast majority of patients, with only 20% requiring more prolonged monitoring and serial blood sampling.
(Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)