New conceptualisation of first flush phenomena in urban catchments.

First flush is an important phenomenon commonlyused in stormwater treatment system design where only the highly concentrated initial part of the runoff hydrograph is subject to treatment. Despite the existing methods for estimating the first flush, a robust quantitative definition is difficult to find. This paper discusses a novel approach, where a new parameter is introduced to analyse the variability in the discharge of pollutants at different times throughout a runoff event and thereby enable the identification of first flush. It was found that due to variability in rainfall, the first flush runoff volume varies from event to event. Therefore, a static estimate of the first flush is not applicable for a runoff event. The Monte Carlo simulation undertaken strengthened the analysis by providing credible limits to the outcomes. Accordingly, an interval estimation was obtained in which the first flush runoff can vary, and it was found that most commonly, the first flush can exist through the initial 30%-50% of the runoff. Therefore, in order to treat the stormwater runoff with minimum risk of discharging high loads of pollutants to the receiving water environment, at least the initial 30% of the runoff should be subject to treatment. This understanding provides a fundamental basis for the design of robust stormwater treatment systems.
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