Diagnostic Performance of the Caprini Risk Assessment Model Combined With D-Dimer for Preoperative Deep Vein Thrombosis in Patients With Thoracolumbar Fractures Caused by High-Energy Injuries.

Objective: To assess the validity of the Caprini risk assessment model (RAM) in risk stratification for deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and to investigate the diagnostic value of Caprini score combined with D-dimer in predicting DVT.
Methods: This study involved 429 patients with thoracolumbar fractures caused by high-energy injuries between October 2016 and November 2019. All patients were treated surgically and had a mean age of 45.3 ± 11.4 years. Patients were risk-stratified using the 2013 Caprini RAM. Mechanical and chemical prophylaxis were used for DVT. Duplex ultrasound of both lower extremities was performed before surgery.
Results: Of the 429 patients, 62 (14.45%) developed DVT. The incidence of preoperative DVT was correlated with Caprini score according to risk stratification(χ ²  = 117.4, P < 0.001). Based on the original Caprini RAM, all the patients scored in the highest risk category (score ≥5). Further substratification showed that the majority (277 of 429, 64.57%) of the patients were in the Caprini score range 7-8 and the risk of preoperative DVT was significantly higher among patients with Caprini score >10. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of Caprini score and D-dimer was 0.816 and 0.769 when Caprini score >8 or D-dimer >1.81mg/L was considered the criterion of predicting the risk of DVT. When combining the 2 variables, the area under the ROC curve can increase to 0.846.
Conclusions: The Caprini RAM is an effective and reliable DVT risk stratification tool in patients with thoracolumbar fractures caused by high-energy injuries. Caprini score >8 or D-dimer >1.81 mg/L may predict the occurrence of preoperative DVT and the Caprini score combined with D-dimer exhibit better diagnostic performance.
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