Correlation between hospital rates of survival to discharge and long-term survival for in-hospital cardiac arrest: Insights from Get With The Guidelines®-Resuscitation registry.

Aim: Given challenges in collecting long-term outcomes for survivors of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA), most studies have focused on in-hospital survival. We evaluated the correlation between a hospital's risk-standardized survival rate (RSSR) at hospital discharge for IHCA with its RSSR for long-term survival.
Methods: We identified patients ≥65 years of age with IHCA at 472 hospitals in Get With The Guidelines®-Resuscitation registry during 2000-2012, who could be linked to Medicare files to obtain post-discharge survival data. We constructed hierarchical logistic regression models to compute RSSR at discharge, and 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year RSSRs for each hospital. The association between in-hospital and long-term RSSR was evaluated with weighted Kappa coefficients.
Results: Among 56,231 Medicare beneficiaries (age 77.2 ± 7.5 years and 25,206 [44.8%] women), 10,536 (18.7%) survived to discharge and 8,485 (15.1%) survived to 30 days after discharge. Median in-hospital, 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year RSSRs were 18.6% (IQR, 16.7-20.4%), 14.9% (13.2-16.7%), 10.3% (9.1-12.1%), and 7.6% (6.8-8.8%), respectively. The weighted Kappa coefficient for the association between a hospital's RSSR at discharge with its 30-day, 1-year, and 3-year RSSRs were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.76), 0.56 (0.50-0.61), and 0.47 (0.41-0.53), respectively.
Conclusions: There was a strong correlation between a hospital's RSSR at discharge and its 30-day RSSR for IHCA, although this correlation weakens over time. Our findings suggest that a hospital's RSSR at discharge for IHCA may be a reasonable surrogate of its 30-day post-discharge survival and could be used by Medicare to benchmark hospital performance for this condition without collecting 30-day survival data.
Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: ‘Dr. Khera receives support from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health (under awards R01HL167858 and K23HL153775) and the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation (under award 2022060). He is an Associate Editor at JAMA and receives research grant support, through Yale, from Bristol‐Myers Squibb, Novo Nordisk, and BridgeBio. He is a coinventor of U.S. Pending Patent Applications WO2023230345A1, US20220336048A1, 63/346,610, 63/484,426, 63/508,315, 63/580,137, 63/606,203, 63/619,241, and 63/562,335, unrelated to the current work. He receives support from the Blavatnik Foundation through the Blavatnik Fund for Innovation at Yale. He is a cofounder of Ensight-AI, and Evidence2Health, both representing precision health platforms to improve evidence-based cardiovascular care. Dr. Chan receives support from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health (under award R01HL160734). The remaining authors have no disclosures to report.’.
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