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Multi-millennial-scale solar activity and its influences on continental tropical climate: empirical evidence of recurrent cosmic and terrestrial patterns.

Authors :
Sánchez-Sesma, J.
Source :
Earth System Dynamics Discussions; 2015, Vol. 6 Issue 2, p1237-1260, 24p
Publication Year :
2015

Abstract

Solar activity (SA) oscillations over the past millennia are analyzed and extrapolated based on reconstructed solar-related records. Here, simple recurrent models of SA signal are applied and tested. The consequent results strongly suggest: (a) the existence of multi-millennial (~ 9500 years) scale solar oscillations, and (b) their persistence, over at least the last glacial-interglacial cycle. This empirical modelling of solar recurrent oscillations has also provided a consequent multi-millennial-scale experimental forecast, suggesting a solar decreasing trend toward Grand (Super) Minimum conditions for the upcoming period, AD2050-2250 (AD 3750-4450). Also, a recurrent linear influence of solar variation on continental tropical climate (CTC) has been assessed for the last 20 kyr, and extrapolated for the next centuries. Taking into account the importance of these estimated SA scenarios a comparison is made with other SA forecasts, and their possible associated astronomical forcing and influences on past and future CTC discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
21904995
Volume :
6
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Earth System Dynamics Discussions
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
111574196
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.5194/esdd-6-1237-2015