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Climate Instability, Urbanisation and International Migration.
- Source :
- Journal of Development Studies; May2016, Vol. 52 Issue 5, p735-752, 18p
- Publication Year :
- 2016
-
Abstract
- This paper focuses on climate-induced migration. We construct a simple theoretical model where, in a first step, climate shocks accelerate the transition from the traditional to the modern sector, leading rural workers to move to urban centres within national borders, while in a second step, downward pressures on wages due to the greater labour supply in cities push people to engage in international migration. To test this hypothesis, we exploit a rich panel dataset, displaying a representative picture of bilateral migration flows and climatic data across 222 countries for the period 1960–2000. Findings suggest that in the next few years the climate-induced growth rate of migrant stocks might be in a range between 8.6 per cent and 12.8 per cent, especially from developing countries, where the level of rural employment is more likely to be affected by climatic shocks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- EMIGRATION & immigration
CLIMATOLOGY
URBANIZATION
BIG data
CLIMATE change
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00220388
- Volume :
- 52
- Issue :
- 5
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Development Studies
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 114328332
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2015.1121240