The analysis of CO2 emission reduction using an ExSS model of Guangdong province in China.

This paper studied the CO₂ emission scenarios of Guangdong province in 2020 and divided the CO₂ emission increment and reductions into various departments and driving factors. Based on the Extended Snapshot model, two CO₂ emission scenarios, Business as Usual (BaU) and Counter Measure (CM) scenario were constructed. CM scenario was completed by using reduction technical measures to achieve the reduction emission goal. The results showed that the amount of CO₂ emission is less 189 million tonne in 2020 CM scenario than BaU scenario. By decomposing the emission reduction measures in CM scenario, it showed that the main means to reduce CO₂ emissions were the industrial structure adjustment, the advanced energy efficiency and the power sector structure adjustment, and the emission reduction contribution rates were 36.85%, 34.55% and 21.74%, respectively. The analysis results could be recommended to the government to make the low-carbon development policy and path. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]