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Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland.

Authors :
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W.
Piniewski, Mikołaj
Mezghani, Abdelkader
Okruszko, Tomasz
Pińskwar, Iwona
Kardel, Ignacy
Hov, Øystein
Szcześniak, Mateusz
Szwed, Małgorzata
Benestad, Rasmus E.
Marcinkowski, Paweł
Graczyk, Dariusz
Dobler, Andreas
Førland, Eirik J.
O'Keefe, Joanna
Choryński, Adam
Parding, Kajsa M.
Haugen, Jan Erik
Source :
Acta Geophysica; Dec2018, Vol. 66 Issue 6, p1509-1523, 15p
Publication Year :
2018

Abstract

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish-Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971-2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
18956572
Volume :
66
Issue :
6
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Acta Geophysica
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
133675171
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-018-0220-4