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Learning and dynamic choices under uncertainty: From weighted regret and rejoice to expected utility.

Authors :
Zagonari, Fabio
Source :
Managerial & Decision Economics; Apr2019, Vol. 40 Issue 3, p292-308, 17p
Publication Year :
2019

Abstract

This paper identifies the globally stable conditions under which an individual facing the same choice in many subsequent times learns to behave as prescribed by the expected‐utility model. The analysis moves from the relevant behavioural models suggested by psychology, by updating probability estimations and outcome preferences according to the learning models suggested by neuroscience, in a manner analogous to Bayesian updating. The search context is derived from experimental economics, whereas the learning framework is borrowed from theoretical economics. Analytical results show that the expected‐utility model explains real behaviours in the long run whenever bad events are more likely than good events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
01436570
Volume :
40
Issue :
3
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Managerial & Decision Economics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
135059830
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.3002