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Fast‐Forward to Perturbed Equilibrium Climate.

Authors :
Saint‐Martin, D.
Geoffroy, O.
Watson, L.
Douville, H.
Bellon, G.
Voldoire, A.
Cattiaux, J.
Decharme, B.
Ribes, A.
Source :
Geophysical Research Letters; 8/16/2019, Vol. 46 Issue 15, p8969-8975, 7p
Publication Year :
2019

Abstract

The equilibrium climate sensitivity, that is, the global‐mean surface‐air temperature change in response to a doubling of the carbon dioxide concentration is a widely used metric in climate change studies. Its exact value is rarely known because its estimation requires a long integration time of several thousand years. We propose a method to estimate an accurate value of the equilibrium response from fully coupled climate models at a reasonable computational cost. Using this method, our state‐of‐the‐art climate model CNRM‐CM6‐1 reaches a stationary state after only few hundred of years of integration. This "Fast‐Forward" method consists of an optimal two‐step forcing pathway designed using the framework of a two‐layer energy balance model. It can be applied easily to any coupled climate model. Key Points: A simple method for estimating the equilibrium climate sensitivity is proposedThe method allows to simulate the stationary climate corresponding to any given radiative perturbation with a limited computational costThe method can be applied to any atmosphere‐ocean coupled climate model [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00948276
Volume :
46
Issue :
15
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Geophysical Research Letters
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
138338978
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083031