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Fast‐Forward to Perturbed Equilibrium Climate.
- Source :
- Geophysical Research Letters; 8/16/2019, Vol. 46 Issue 15, p8969-8975, 7p
- Publication Year :
- 2019
-
Abstract
- The equilibrium climate sensitivity, that is, the global‐mean surface‐air temperature change in response to a doubling of the carbon dioxide concentration is a widely used metric in climate change studies. Its exact value is rarely known because its estimation requires a long integration time of several thousand years. We propose a method to estimate an accurate value of the equilibrium response from fully coupled climate models at a reasonable computational cost. Using this method, our state‐of‐the‐art climate model CNRM‐CM6‐1 reaches a stationary state after only few hundred of years of integration. This "Fast‐Forward" method consists of an optimal two‐step forcing pathway designed using the framework of a two‐layer energy balance model. It can be applied easily to any coupled climate model. Key Points: A simple method for estimating the equilibrium climate sensitivity is proposedThe method allows to simulate the stationary climate corresponding to any given radiative perturbation with a limited computational costThe method can be applied to any atmosphere‐ocean coupled climate model [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00948276
- Volume :
- 46
- Issue :
- 15
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 138338978
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083031