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The European growth synchronization through crises and structural changes.

Authors :
Uctum, Merih
Uctum, Remzi
Vijverberg, Chu-Ping C.
Source :
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics; 2021, Vol. 25 Issue 1, p1-17, 17p
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

In light of several economic and financial crises and institutional changes experienced by the European countries, we examine whether these economies achieved synchronization of their business cycles and fostered synchronization of their growth rates. Controlling for reverse causality, we conduct multiple endogenous break tests and find that (i) several endogenous break dates correspond to idiosyncratic shocks affecting individual countries or major shocks in international arena but not the adoption of the euro; this result suggests that the convergence process has been nonlinear for a number of countries and that studies imposing break dates exogenously, such as the launch of euro, may lead to biased conclusions; (ii) while output growth was increasingly synchronized for some countries, integration occurred in an asymmetric way and it did not change or did not occur for others despite being in the same common currency area (iii) convergence has been prevalent among the non-Eurozone economies in our sample. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
10811826
Volume :
25
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
149396791
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1515/snde-2018-0097