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Global Banks and Systemic Debt Crises.

Authors :
Morelli, Juan M.
Ottonello, Pablo
Perez, Diego J.
Source :
Econometrica; Mar2022, Vol. 90 Issue 2, p749-798, 50p
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

We study the role of global financial intermediaries in international lending. We construct a model of the world economy, in which heterogeneous borrowers issue risky securities purchased by financial intermediaries. Aggregate shocks transmit internationally through financial intermediaries' net worth. The strength of this transmission is governed by the degree of frictions intermediaries face in financing their risky investments. We provide direct empirical evidence on this mechanism showing that around Lehman Brothers' bankruptcy, emerging‐market bonds held by more distressed global banks experienced larger price contractions. A quantitative analysis of the model shows that global financial intermediaries play a relevant role in driving borrowing‐cost and consumption fluctuations in emerging‐market economies, during both debt crises and regular business cycles. The portfolio of financial intermediaries and the distribution of bond holdings in the world economy are key to determine aggregate dynamics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00129682
Volume :
90
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Econometrica
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
155938818
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA17433