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Advanced Computing Approach for Modeling and Prediction COVID-19 Pandemic.

Authors :
Morsi, Sami A.
Alzahrani, Mohammad Eid
Source :
Applied Bionics & Biomechanics; 4/14/2022, p1-8, 8p
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

The emergence of many strains of the coronavirus, including the latest omicron strain, which is spreading at a very high speed, is leading to the World Health Organization's (WHO) concern about the creation of this new mutation. Therefore, there is a strong motivation for modeling and predicting COVID-19 to control the number of cases of the disease. The proposed system for predicting the number of cases of COVID-19 can help governments take precautions to prevent the spread of the disease. In this paper, a statistical logistic growth model was employed to predict the spread of COVID-19 in Australia and Brazil. The datasets were collected from the surveillance systems in Australia and Brazil from March 13, 2020, to December 12, 2021, for 641 days. This proposed method used a tested logistic growth model for the complex spread of COVID-19 and forecasted future values within a time interval of six days. The results of the predicted, cumulative, confirmed cases indicate the robustness and effectiveness of the proposed system, which was categorized by time-dependent dynamics. The coefficient of determination (R) metric was used to evaluate the model to predict COVID-19, and the proposed system scored the highest correlation ( R 2 = 99 %). The proposed system has the potential to contribute to public health by making decisions about how to prevent the spread of COVID-19. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
11762322
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Applied Bionics & Biomechanics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
156317682
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/6056574