Haste makes waste: shorter time for nest-site assessment leads to higher nest predation in a cavity nester.

A fundamental problem for any animal is how to weigh the benefits of making a rapid decision against the costs of making a poor decision, because time for detecting and evaluating all options is often restricted. For nest-site selection in birds, an important cost of a speedy decision would be nest predation, which is a major factor lowering reproductive success. I tested whether shorter time available for assessment of nest sites would lead to a decision with higher probability of nest predation. Where boreal owls (Aegolius funereus) had nested successfully in a box in the previous season, I manipulated nest box availability by offering a dyad of nest boxes. One box (kept or exchanged) was in the original nest tree and one box (new or taken from the original tree) was in a new tree for the season, each box containing either "post-nesting residue" from the successful nesting or new wood shavings. Hence, the owls could assess the risk of nest predation at a familiar site relative to that at a new site. The timing of nest box installation and relocation was such that time for assessment varied among localities, from the whole non-breeding season to just a few days prior to laying in spring. Owls that had had longer time in which to make their assessment and selection were less likely to have their nest predated by pine martens (Martes martes). Boreal owls are non-migratory and probably gained information on the relative safety of the two options by a Bayesian-like updating process in the days, weeks or months before the decision had to be made. A migratory cavity-nester exposed to the same landscape of nest predation would be more time-constrained and forced to rely on the win-stay loose-shift tactic, which underperforms relative to Bayesian-like updating. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]