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High C‐reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio predicts mortality outcomes of patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A multicenter study in China.

Authors :
Qian, Fang
Zhou, Wei
Liu, Yuanni
Ge, Ziruo
Lai, Jianming
Zhao, Zhenghua
Feng, Yang
Lin, Ling
Shen, Yi
Zhang, Zhonglu
Zhang, Wei
Fan, Tianli
Zhao, Yongxiang
Chen, Zhihai
Source :
Journal of Medical Virology; Feb2023, Vol. 95 Issue 2, p1-12, 12p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is a life‐threatening infectious disease caused by the SFTS virus (SFTSV). This study aimed to evaluate the predictive power of C‐reactive protein to lymphocyte ratio (CLR) and establish an early‐warning model for SFTS mortality. We retrospectively analyzed hospitalized SFTS patients in six clinical centers from May 2011 to 2022. The efficacy of CLR prediction was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. A nomogram was established and validated. Eight hundred and eighty‐two SFTS patients (median age 64 years, 48.5% male) were enrolled in this study, with a mortality rate of 17.8%. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of CLR was 0.878 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.850−0.903, p < 0.001), which demonstrates high predictive strength. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression selected seven potential predictors. Multivariate logistic regression analysis determined three independent risk factors, including CLR, to construct the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram displayed excellent discrimination and calibration, with significant net benefits in clinical uses. CLR is a brand‐new predictor for SFTS mortality. The nomogram based on CLR can serve as a convenient tool for physicians to identify critical SFTS cases in clinical practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
01466615
Volume :
95
Issue :
2
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Medical Virology
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
162082201
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/jmv.28546