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A range of outcomes: the combined effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends over Europe.
- Source :
- Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics; 2023, Vol. 30 Issue 1, p63-84, 22p
- Publication Year :
- 2023
-
Abstract
- Disentangling the effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends remains a key challenge with far-reaching implications. Due to its largely unpredictable nature on timescales longer than a decade, internal climate variability limits the accuracy of climate model projections, introduces challenges in attributing past climate changes, and complicates climate model evaluation. Here, we highlight recent advances in climate modeling and physical understanding that have led to novel insights about these key issues. In particular, we synthesize new findings from large-ensemble simulations with Earth system models, observational large ensembles, and dynamical adjustment methodologies, with a focus on European climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- ATMOSPHERIC models
CLIMATE change
SIMULATION methods & models
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 10235809
- Volume :
- 30
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 163546631
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-63-2023