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A mathematical model for policy of vaccinating recovered people in controlling the spread of COVID-19 outbreak.

Authors :
Ihsanjaya, Moh. Mashum Mujur
Susyanto, Nanang
Source :
AIMS Mathematics (2473-6988); 2023, Vol. 8 Issue 6, p1-14, 14p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a mathematical model for the spread of COVID-19 outbreak, taking into account vaccination in susceptible and recovered populations. The model divides the population into eight classes, including susceptible, vaccinated in S class, exposed, infected asymptomatic, infected symptomatic, hospitalized, recovery, and vaccinated in recovered class. By applying a vaccine-distribution scenario, we investigate the impact of vaccines on the COVID-19 outbreak. After analyzing the equilibrium point and computing the basic reproduction number, we perform numerical simulation and sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential parameters and evaluate the impact of vaccine distribution on policies to control the spread of COVID-19. Our findings suggest that vaccine distribution can effectively suppress the spread of COVID-19, and increasing the v parameter (vaccine distribution) and α 1 parameter (acceleration of detection of undetected infected individuals who have recovered) can help control the outbreak. Moreover, decreasing the contact between vulnerable and infected individuals can lower the β 1 parameter, leading to R 0 < 1 , which indicates a disease-free population. This study contributes to understanding the impact of vaccination on the spread of COVID-19 and provides insights for policymakers in developing control strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
24736988
Volume :
8
Issue :
6
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
AIMS Mathematics (2473-6988)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
163681444
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3934/math.2023741