Back to Search
Start Over
Optimal Contact Tracing and Social Distancing Policies to Suppress A New Infectious Disease.
- Source :
- Economic Journal; Aug2023, Vol. 133 Issue 654, p2483-2503, 21p, 1 Diagram, 1 Chart, 5 Graphs
- Publication Year :
- 2023
-
Abstract
- This paper studies the suppression of an infectious disease in the canonical susceptible-infectious-recovered model. It derives three results. First, if technically feasible, the optimal response to a sufficiently small outbreak is halting transmissions instead of building up immunity through infections. Second, the crucial trade-off is not between health and economic costs, but between the intensity and duration of control measures. A simple formula of observables characterises the optimum. Third, the total cost depends critically on the efficiency of contact tracing, since it allows relaxing costly social distancing without increasing transmissions. A calibration to the COVID-19 pandemic illustrates the theoretical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00130133
- Volume :
- 133
- Issue :
- 654
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Economic Journal
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 166742576
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/uead024