Back to Search Start Over

Ellsberg meets Keynes at an urn.

Authors :
Chew, Soo Hong
Miao, Bin
Zhong, Songfa
Source :
Quantitative Economics; Jul2023, Vol. 14 Issue 3, p1133-1162, 30p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

Keynes (1921) and Ellsberg (1961) have articulated an aversion toward betting on an urn containing balls of two colors of unknown proportion to one with a 50–50 composition. Keynes views this as reflecting different preferences for bets arising from different sources of uncertainty. Ellsberg describes this as weighting the priors arising from the unknown urn pessimistically. In two experiments, we observe substantial links between attitude toward almost‐objective uncertainty and attitudes toward multiple‐prior uncertainties in terms of ambiguity and its corresponding compound risk. Our findings point to a shared component across domains of uncertainty and motivate the need for further theoretical development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
17597323
Volume :
14
Issue :
3
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Quantitative Economics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
168592204
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3982/QE2253