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The Wind and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Method Based on Digital Twins.

Authors :
Wang, Yonggui
Qi, Yong
Li, Jian
Huan, Le
Li, Yusen
Xie, Bitao
Wang, Yongshan
Source :
Applied Sciences (2076-3417); Jul2023, Vol. 13 Issue 14, p8374, 16p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

Wind and photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting are crucial for improving the operational efficiency of power systems and building smart power systems. However, the uncertainty and instability of factors affecting renewable power generation pose challenges to power system operations. To address this, this paper proposes a digital twin-based method for predicting wind and PV power. By utilizing digital twin technology, this approach provides a highly realistic simulation environment that enables accurate monitoring, optimal control, and decision support for power system operations. Furthermore, a digital twin platform for the AI (Artificial Intelligence) Grid is established, allowing real-time monitoring, and ensuring the safe, reliable, and stable operation of the grid. Additionally, a deep learning-based model WPNet is developed to predict wind and PV power at specific future time points. Four datasets are constructed based on weather conditions and historical wind and PV power data from the Flanders and Wallonia regions. The prediction models presented in this paper demonstrate excellent performance on these datasets, achieving mean square error (MSE) values of 0.001399, 0.001833, 0.000704, and 0.002708; mean absolute error (MAE) values of 0.025164, 0.027854, 0.018592, and 0.033501; and root mean square error (RMSE) values of 0.037409, 0.042808, 0.026541, and 0.052042, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20763417
Volume :
13
Issue :
14
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Applied Sciences (2076-3417)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
168600128
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3390/app13148374