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Effects of public-health measures for zeroing out different SARS-CoV-2 variants.

Authors :
Ge, Yong
Wu, Xilin
Zhang, Wenbin
Wang, Xiaoli
Zhang, Die
Wang, Jianghao
Liu, Haiyan
Ren, Zhoupeng
Ruktanonchai, Nick W.
Ruktanonchai, Corrine W.
Cleary, Eimear
Yao, Yongcheng
Wesolowski, Amy
Cummings, Derek A. T.
Li, Zhongjie
Tatem, Andrew J.
Lai, Shengjie
Source :
Nature Communications; 8/29/2023, Vol. 14 Issue 1, p1-12, 12p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

Targeted public health interventions for an emerging epidemic are essential for preventing pandemics. During 2020-2022, China invested significant efforts in strict zero-COVID measures to contain outbreaks of varying scales caused by different SARS-CoV-2 variants. Based on a multi-year empirical dataset containing 131 outbreaks observed in China from April 2020 to May 2022 and simulated scenarios, we ranked the relative intervention effectiveness by their reduction in instantaneous reproduction number. We found that, overall, social distancing measures (38% reduction, 95% prediction interval 31-45%), face masks (30%, 17-42%) and close contact tracing (28%, 24-31%) were most effective. Contact tracing was crucial in containing outbreaks during the initial phases, while social distancing measures became increasingly prominent as the spread persisted. In addition, infections with higher transmissibility and a shorter latent period posed more challenges for these measures. Our findings provide quantitative evidence on the effects of public-health measures for zeroing out emerging contagions in different contexts. China maintained a 'zero-COVID' policy from early in the pandemic until late 2022 that employed various public health interventions with the aim of COVID-19 containment. Here, the authors use data from 131 outbreaks in China to estimate the effects of a range of interventions against different SARS-CoV-2 variants in diverse settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20411723
Volume :
14
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Nature Communications
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
170899496
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40940-4