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THE WISDOM OF NO CROWDS: THE REACTION OF BETTING MARKETS TO LOCKDOWN SOCCER GAMES.
- Source :
- Journal of Prediction Markets; 2023, Vol. 17 Issue 2, p123-137, 15p
- Publication Year :
- 2023
-
Abstract
- The support of home spectators is one of the contributing factors to the home advantage effect in sports matches. The COVID-19 pandemic led to European soccer matches being played without spectators. Contrary to previous findings in the literature, we show that betting markets adjusted promptly to account for a reduced home advantage in both goal difference and the probability of a win. These adjustments proved accurate over a large sample of soccer matches subsequently played without spectators, even though the earliest games appeared to suggest a much bigger change in home advantage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- SOCCER tournaments
SWARM intelligence
FINANCIAL market reaction
COVID-19 pandemic
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 17506751
- Volume :
- 17
- Issue :
- 2
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Prediction Markets
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 174830433
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v17i2.2089