Climatic Drivers of Ice Slabs and Firn Aquifers in Greenland.

Recent observations revealed the existence of ice slabs and aquifers on the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS). Both affect the ice sheet's hydrology: ice slabs facilitate runoff and aquifers modulate drainage to the bed. However, their climatic drivers and history remain unclear, as most observations cover only two decades. Here, we present a model simulation of the evolution of GrIS ice slabs and aquifers (1980–2020), evaluated using radar measurements. The results show that accumulation, melt and rain rates are good predictors for the spatial distribution of ice slabs and aquifers. Both features were already present in the late 1980s, and their extent remained relatively constant until the beginning of this century, after which increased melt led to their expansion. We show that almost any transect from the coast to the ice‐sheet interior will cross either an ice slab region, or an aquifer, or both. Plain Language Summary: The Greenland ice sheet is covered by a layer of old, porous snow called firn, which has the capacity to prevent surface melt runoff. The firn can however, form thick ice slabs or store large amounts of water underground. These change the fate of surface melt by respectively enhancing runoff and draining water to the ice sheet's bed. While observations have shown where these phenomena occur, it is still unknown what the exact atmospheric conditions are that lead to their formation. Here, we tackle this problem using computer simulations. Our results show that the amount of snowfall, melt and rain determine whether ice slabs or aquifers can form. The results also suggest that ice slabs and aquifers are more abundant than previously assumed, and that their observed expansion started only in the early 2000s, and they will continue to expand if the climate gets warmer and melt and rain become more abundant. Key Points: Accumulation, melt and rain are good predictors of ice slab and firn aquifer locationsThe expansion of modeled ice slabs and aquifers on the Greenland ice sheet started in the early 2000sWe show that, in between the ablation zone and the accumulation zone, there are always ice slabs and/or aquifers present [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]