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"This behavior strikes us as ideal": assessment and anticipations of Huisman (2022).
- Source :
- Psychonomic Bulletin & Review; Feb2024, Vol. 31 Issue 1, p242-248, 7p
- Publication Year :
- 2024
-
Abstract
- Huisman (Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 1–10. 2022) argued that a valid measure of evidence should indicate more support in favor of a true alternative hypothesis when sample size is large than when it is small. Bayes factors may violate this pattern and hence Huisman concluded that Bayes factors are invalid as a measure of evidence. In this brief comment we call attention to the following: (1) Huisman's purported anomaly is in fact dictated by probability theory; (2) Huisman's anomaly has been discussed and explained in the statistical literature since 1939; the anomaly was also highlighted in the Psychonomic Bulletin & Review article by Rouder et al. (2009), who interpreted the anomaly as "ideal": an interpretation diametrically opposed to that of Huisman. We conclude that when intuition clashes with probability theory, chances are that it is intuition that needs schooling. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- PROBABILITY theory
EXPECTATION (Psychology)
INTUITION
SAMPLE size (Statistics)
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 10699384
- Volume :
- 31
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 175452298
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-023-02299-x