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Routine-biased technological change and employee outcomes after mass layoffs: evidence from Brazil.

Authors :
Martins-Neto, Antonio
Cirera, Xavier
Coad, Alex
Source :
Industrial & Corporate Change; Jun2024, Vol. 33 Issue 3, p555-583, 29p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

We investigate the impact of "routinization" on the labor outcomes of displaced workers. We use a rich Brazilian panel dataset and an occupation-task mapping to examine the effect of job displacement in different groups, classified according to their tasks. Our main result is that following a layoff, workers previously employed in routine-intensive occupations suffer a more significant decline in wages and more extended periods of unemployment. As expected, job displacement has a negative and lasting impact on wages. Still, workers in routine-intensive occupations are more impacted than those in non-routine occupations in terms of wages (an increase of one point in the routine-intensity index results in a further decline of 2% in workers' relative wages) and employment. Furthermore, our results indicate that workers in routine-intensive occupations are more likely to change occupations after the shock, and those who do not switch occupational fields suffer a more significant decline in wages. Lastly, even though the loss of employer-specific wage premiums explains 13% of displaced workers' drop in wages, it does not explain routine-intensive workers' more substantial losses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
09606491
Volume :
33
Issue :
3
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Industrial & Corporate Change
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177084657
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtad063