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SolarFlux Predictor: A Novel Deep Learning Approach for Photovoltaic Power Forecasting in South Korea.

Authors :
Min, Hyunsik
Hong, Seokjun
Song, Jeonghoon
Son, Byeoungmin
Noh, Byeongjoon
Moon, Jihoon
Source :
Electronics (2079-9292); Jun2024, Vol. 13 Issue 11, p2071, 23p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

We present SolarFlux Predictor, a novel deep-learning model designed to revolutionize photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in South Korea. This model uses a self-attention-based temporal convolutional network (TCN) to process and predict PV outputs with high precision. We perform meticulous data preprocessing to ensure accurate data normalization and outlier rectification, which are vital for reliable PV power data analysis. The TCN layers are crucial for capturing temporal patterns in PV energy data; we complement them with the teacher forcing technique during the training phase to significantly enhance the sequence prediction accuracy. By optimizing hyperparameters with Optuna, we further improve the model's performance. Our model incorporates multi-head self-attention mechanisms to focus on the most impactful temporal features, thereby improving forecasting accuracy. In validations against datasets from nine regions in South Korea, SolarFlux outperformed conventional methods. The results indicate that SolarFlux is a robust tool for optimizing PV systems' management and operational efficiency and can contribute to South Korea's pursuit of sustainable energy solutions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20799292
Volume :
13
Issue :
11
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Electronics (2079-9292)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177857177
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13112071