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The Intertemporal Keynesian Cross.

Authors :
Auclert, Adrien
Rognlie, Matthew
Straub, Ludwig
Source :
Journal of Political Economy; Dec2024, Vol. 132 Issue 12, p4068-4121, 54p
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

We generalize the traditional, static Keynesian cross by deriving an intertemporal Keynesian cross for the dynamic output response to government spending and taxes in microfounded general equilibrium models. Intertemporal marginal propensities to consume (iMPCs) are sufficient statistics for this response, with fiscal multipliers depending only on the interaction between iMPCs and public deficits. We provide empirical estimates of iMPCs and argue that they are inconsistent with representative agent or two-agent models but can be matched by certain heterogeneous agent models. Models that match empirical iMPCs imply larger and more persistent output responses to deficit-financed fiscal policy, with cumulative spending multipliers above 1. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00223808
Volume :
132
Issue :
12
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of Political Economy
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
181555245
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1086/732531