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Framing, Uncertainty, and Hostile Communications in a Crisis Experiment.
- Source :
- Political Psychology; Mar2002, Vol. 23 Issue 1, p133-49, 17p, 2 Charts
- Publication Year :
- 2002
-
Abstract
- During limes of crisis, do cognitive processes shape leaders' procurement decisions in predictable ways? Drawing on psychological literature, we propose four factors that may have a substantial influence on how much money leaders engaged in ongoing disputes allocate to their military: (1) striving for superiority versus striving for parity in military resources; (2) uncertainty regarding the characteristics of weapons systems; (3) ambiguity regarding the overall capacities of weapons systems; and (4) the tone of messages that adversaries send to one another. The effects of these factors are investigated using a laboratory simulation that combines both experimental and quasi-experimental elements. The results indicate that striving for superiority has a significant effect on defense spending, as does the tone of an opponent's message. By way of contrast, neither uncertainty nor ambiguity exerts a statistically discernable impact on the level of defense spending. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 0162895X
- Volume :
- 23
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Political Psychology
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 27548885
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1111/0162-895X.00274