Research on the Risk Level of Landfall Typhoons in Zhejiang, China.

Zhejiang Province, as a major province of economic strength in China, has economically well-developed coastal areas, which are heavily damaged during landfall typhoons. In this paper, typhoons that could cause serious damages to Zhejiang Province will be labeled as “disastrous typhoons,” and the corresponding wind velocities will be labeled as “disastrous wind velocities.” It is suggested that typhoons exceeding certain threshold-values be selected as samples for calculation, and this method is called threshold-value sampling. According to the typhoon measurement data and by using the P-III distribution function, the disastrous wind velocity of certain recurrence interval in typhoon-resistant and engineering design projects was calculated. The calculation results show that the disastrous wind velocity of the largest landfall typhoon of coastal areas for the next 10 years is 41.8 m/s, the disastrous wind velocity in the next 50 years is 49.7 m/s, and 52.9 m/s in the next 100 years. It can be seen at the same time that the wind velocity calculated by the P-III distribution model is more similar to the actual conditions compared to the wind velocity calculated by the Weibull distribution model. This method is conceptually clear, easy to use, and generates ideal results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]