A quantitative analysis of recent conflict in South Africa using COPDAB.

Proponents of the theory of Protracted Social Conflict have given interesting narrative descriptions of some cases. We take a simplified version of the theory and apply it to South Africa. Using data from COPDAB we econometrically modeled conflict in South Africa from 1965 to 1981. We discover that conflict there is expected to remain protracted. (Keywords: South Africa, time series, econometric models) [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]