Effects of transient climate change on basin hydrology. 1. Precipitation scenarios for the Arno River, central Italy.

Discusses long-term simulations of temporal rainfall and temperature under transient global climate conditions of atmospheric inputs at the basin scale in the Arno River in central Italy. Discussion of a global circulation model (GCM), simulating climate changes due to an increase in the greenhouse effect; How one can infer future changes in storm duration and depth from GCM trend variables; Data suggesting that this approach provides local precipitation that, together with temperature scenarios, can be used for hydrological simulation of basin water fluxes in the Arno River.