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A non-parametric entropy-based approach to detect changes in climate extremes.

Authors :
Naveau, Philippe
Guillou, Armelle
Rietsch, Théo
Source :
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology); Nov2014, Vol. 76 Issue 5, p861-884, 24p
Publication Year :
2014

Abstract

The paper focuses primarily on temperature extremes measured at 24 European stations with at least 90 years of data. Here, the term extremes refers to rare excesses of daily maxima and minima. As mean temperatures in this region have been warming over the last century, it is automatic that this positive shift can be detected also in extremes. After removing this warming trend, we focus on the question of determining whether other changes are still detectable in such extreme events. As we do not want to hypothesize any parametric form of such possible changes, we propose a new non-parametric estimator based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence tailored for extreme events. The properties of our estimator are studied theoretically and tested with a simulation study. Our approach is also applied to seasonal extremes of daily maxima and minima for our 24 selected stations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
13697412
Volume :
76
Issue :
5
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
98836646
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12058