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ATTRIBUTION ERROR IN ECONOMIC VOTING: EVIDENCE FROM TRADE SHOCKS.
- Source :
- Economic Inquiry; Jan2015, Vol. 53 Issue 1, p258-275, 18p, 11 Charts, 2 Graphs
- Publication Year :
- 2015
-
Abstract
- This article exploits the international transmission of business cycles to examine the prevalence of attribution error in economic voting in a large panel of countries from 1990 to 2009. We find that voters, on average, exhibit a strong tendency to oust the incumbent governments during an economic downturn, regardless of whether the recession is home-grown or merely imported from trading partners. However, we find important heterogeneity in the extent of attribution error. A split sample analysis shows that countries with more experienced voters, more educated voters, and possibly more informed voters-all conditions that have been shown to mitigate other voter agency problems-do better in distinguishing imported from domestic growth. ( JEL E3, E6) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- ECONOMIC voting
VOTER attitudes
VOTERS
ECONOMIC research
BUSINESS cycles
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00952583
- Volume :
- 53
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Complementary Index
- Journal :
- Economic Inquiry
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 99542639
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12116