Forecasting risk of diseases in Kazakhstan with using mapping technique based on 9 years statistics.

Forecasting risk of diseases helps for preparedness for increased epidemic in health care. Also it helps in planning and monitoring resource needs at all levels of public health. Diseases mapping technique is used to visualization of the geographical distribution which give a general idea about the coverage of disease in Kazakhstan. The official statistical data was used in order to identify the most risky diseases which cover in our country. Developing the disease risk map relies on the method that was used for relative risk estimation. This paper proposes the Holt method that was chosen in order to analyze data and forecasting disease risks. The analysis involved using the number of cases that obtained from the Ministry of Health in Kazakhstan. The outcomes of analysis are displayed through graph and map, and the distribution of high and low risk areas of disease occurrences for all states in Kazakhstan can be identified in the risk map. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]