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Excess mortality due to COVID-19 in Germany.

Authors :
Stang, Andreas
Standl, Fabian
Kowall, Bernd
Brune, Bastian
Böttcher, Juliane
Brinkmann, Marcus
Dittmer, Ulf
Jöckel, Karl-Heinz
Source :
Journal of Infection; Nov2020, Vol. 81 Issue 5, p797-801, 5p
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

<bold>Objectives: </bold>The first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Germany lasted from week 10 to 23 in 2020. The aim is to provide estimates of excess mortality in Germany during this time.<bold>Methods: </bold>We analyzed age-specific numbers of deaths per week from 2016 to week 26 in 2020. We used weekly mean numbers of deaths of 2016-2019 to estimate expected weekly numbers for 2020. We estimated standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence intervals.<bold>Results: </bold>During the first wave observed numbers of deaths were higher than expected for age groups 60-69, 80-89, and 90+. The age group 70-79 years did not show excess mortality. The net excess number of deaths for weeks 10-23 was +8,071. The overall SMR was 1•03 (95%CI 1•03-1•04). The largest increase occurred among people aged 80-89 and 90+ (SMR=1•08 and SMR=1•09). A sensitivity analysis that accounts for demographic changes revealed an overall SMR of 0•98 (95%CI 0•98-0•99) and a deficit of 4,926 deaths for week 10-23, 2020.<bold>Conclusions: </bold>The excess mortality existed for two months. The favorable course of the first wave may be explained by a younger age at infection at the beginning of the pandemic, lower contact rates, and a more efficient pandemic management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
01634453
Volume :
81
Issue :
5
Database :
Supplemental Index
Journal :
Journal of Infection
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
146751883
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.09.012