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The fiscal multiplier when debt is denominated in foreign currency.

Authors :
Hory, Marie-Pierre
Levieuge, Grégory
Onori, Daria
Source :
International Economics (2110-7017); Dec2023, Vol. 176, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

In this paper, we show that the proportion of private debt denominated in foreign currency can be a determinant of the size of the domestic fiscal multiplier. The demonstration relies on a two-country New Keynesian DSGE model with nominal rigidities and financial frictions. In line with recent evidence, the model can reproduce the depreciation of the domestic currency following an increase in public spending. We show that, in this case, the increase in debt burden denominated in foreign currency deteriorates the domestic firms' balance sheets. This raises their external finance premium and crowds out private investment, ultimately offsetting the stimulative effect of the government spending shock. • The proportion of private debt in foreign currency influences the fiscal multiplier. • Demonstration based on a two-country New Keynesian model with financial frictions. • Domestic currency can depreciate following an increase in public spending. • Balance sheets deteriorate when private debt is denominated in foreign currency. • The increase in external finance premium offsets the effect of public spendings. • Empirical evidence based on a panel VAR confirms this mechanism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
21107017
Volume :
176
Database :
Supplemental Index
Journal :
International Economics (2110-7017)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
173855031
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2023.100458